Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.006526 0.007309 0.008161 0.009159 0.010300 0.011566 0.013080
2025-02-16 0.005303 0.006378 0.007647 0.009266 0.011289 0.013751 0.016998
2025-02-23 0.004528 0.005702 0.007163 0.009134 0.011751 0.015142 0.019933
2025-03-02 0.004079 0.005332 0.006961 0.009262 0.012476 0.016872 0.023463
2025-03-09 0.003670 0.004947 0.006669 0.009200 0.012890 0.018179 0.026529
2025-03-16 0.003240 0.004482 0.006206 0.008824 0.012784 0.018691 0.028443
2025-03-23 0.002980 0.004222 0.005997 0.008778 0.013136 0.019892 0.031549
2025-03-30 0.002875 0.004174 0.006083 0.009170 0.014185 0.022278 0.036899
2025-04-06 0.002617 0.003871 0.005757 0.008885 0.014114 0.022828 0.039172
2025-04-13 0.002402 0.003616 0.005481 0.008647 0.014086 0.023430 0.041596
2025-04-20 0.002261 0.003465 0.005352 0.008634 0.014428 0.024699 0.045422
2025-04-27 0.002198 0.003430 0.005406 0.008930 0.015336 0.027079 0.051743
2025-05-04 0.002058 0.003267 0.005243 0.008849 0.015584 0.028319 0.056091
2025-05-11 0.001959 0.003163 0.005173 0.008929 0.016146 0.030246 0.062248
2025-05-18 0.001836 0.003008 0.005001 0.008804 0.016294 0.031359 0.066793
2025-05-25 0.001763 0.002934 0.004965 0.008926 0.016939 0.033568 0.074234
2025-06-01 0.001669 0.002817 0.004841 0.008867 0.017206 0.035006 0.080099
2025-06-08 0.001541 0.002630 0.004575 0.008506 0.016806 0.034932 0.082193
2025-06-15 0.001467 0.002535 0.004473 0.008463 0.017075 0.036391 0.088500
2025-06-22 0.001452 0.002548 0.004574 0.008839 0.018299 0.040227 0.101938
2025-06-29 0.001358 0.002407 0.004371 0.008565 0.018039 0.040483 0.105467
2025-07-06 0.001277 0.002286 0.004196 0.008337 0.017858 0.040912 0.109592
2025-07-13 0.001226 0.002218 0.004124 0.008324 0.018179 0.042645 0.117975